Happy Tuesday! Retirement math keeps shifting under our feet lately, and today's issue gets into what your real number should look like, wherever you're starting from.

On The Money Today:

  • Why retirees chasing low-tax states don't always come out ahead

  • The real number that decides whether $200K actually lasts through retirement

  • The preservation mistakes that trip up even $2 million retirees

Let's get into it.

BEHIND THE HEADLINE

How fast you spend a $2 million portfolio matters more than the balance itself. At a 3% withdrawal rate, the money keeps growing for decades. At 7%, it's gone by year 26, even though every scenario starts from the exact same number.

Keep reading our Must Read to see the specific traps that push retirees from the safe end of this chart toward the risky one.

RETIREMENT

From Florida to Nevada, retirees are fleeing to no-tax states in search of financial 'heaven.' They don't always find it

Skipping state income tax sounds like an easy win, until the HOA fees, home insurance premiums and hidden costs of a new zip code start adding up. Florida gained a net total of just 815 retirees last year, once you count everyone who left too, a sign the math isn't as simple as "no income tax equals more money in your pocket."

Why it matters: A state can be tax-friendly and still be more expensive to live in overall, so the number that actually determines your retirement budget is what's left after taxes, insurance, HOA fees and cost of living, not the tax rate alone.

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MANAGING MONEY

Worried about $200K in retirement savings? here's why you'll still (probably) never run out of cash, especially if you do this now

A six-figure balance can feel small next to the numbers other people brag about. But the real question isn't how big your savings are, it's how you turn them into income that lasts as long as you do. A few specific moves made early in retirement decide whether that balance stretches for decades or runs dry in years.

Why it matters: The gap between retirees who plan their withdrawals and their Social Security timing together, and those who don't, can add up to tens of thousands of dollars over a 30-year retirement, and most people never realize they're leaving it on the table.

MUST READ

You've saved $2 million for retirement, but these 5 traps could still drain it

Getting to $2 million doesn't mean the hard part is over. Wealth preservation takes a completely different mindset than wealth building, and the mistakes here are easy to miss until they've already cost you. And they're not dramatic losses, but small, ordinary decisions that slowly chip away at a portfolio built over decades.

Why it matters: Northwestern Mutual found only 36% of millionaires consider themselves "wealthy," and nearly half say their own retirement planning could use work, proof that hitting a big number doesn't automatically protect it.

MONEY IQ

Roughly what percentage of Americans have $2 million or more saved for retirement?

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ALSO MAKING THE ROUNDS TODAY

NEWS: A "package inspector" job promising $4,300 a month made one Orlando woman the unwitting middleman in a stolen-goods reshipping scheme, a reason to vet any work-from-home offer before you say yes

RETIREMENT: Suze Orman says the smartest move after losing a spouse is doing nothing for a year, since grief-driven decisions are exactly what scammers count on, a habit worth building before you ever need it

INSURANCE: More than half of Allstate's 2024 claims closed without paying out, until Tyler Perry stepped in to cover an 81-year-old's $18,000 lien worth remembering before you're the one waiting on a denial

MANAGING MONEY: Roughly 25 million Americans have no credit score at all, and Dave Ramsey says that's by design, though it only works if you can pay cash for everything, worth weighing before you follow his lead

MONEY IQ ANSWER: HOW DID YOU DO?

The correct answer is B) About 3%. Even after decades of saving, only a small slice of American retirees ever cross the $2 million mark, which is exactly why protecting it, not just reaching it, becomes the real challenge once you're there.

That's a wrap for today! Before you go, we'd love to know what you thought of today's newsletter. Hit REPLY if you have more to share — we read every one.

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See you soon with another quick roundup of the financial news that matters.

Today's newsletter was written by Shirley Sze and edited by Rudro Chakrabarti. Stories by Vishesh Raisinghani, Brian O'Connell, Thomas Kent, Eric Esposito, Emma Caplan-Fisher, Kit Pulliam and Godwin Oluponmile.

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