Good afternoon. Every saver has a number in their head, the one that means they've made it. But a number is only a starting point. What it actually buys you depends on math most people never run, markets nobody controls and habits that shift the moment you feel secure. Today's three stories are about closing that gap before it closes on you.

On The Money Today:

  • A wealth manager ran one man's early retirement dream through the actual math, and the result is a wake-up call for anyone counting down

  • The investor who saw 2000 and 2008 coming just told CNBC exactly how far he thinks this market can fall

  • Why hitting a seven-figure milestone is the moment your money strategy needs to flip

Let's get into it. But first…

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RETIREMENT

Bob earns $150,000, has half a million saved and puts 6% into his 401(k) every year. On paper that sounds like a man on track, and a wealth manager ran his exact numbers to find out if it's true. The verdict comes down to one gap most people never calculate until it's too late to close.

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INVESTING

Grantham built his reputation warning about the dot-com bust and the 2008 crisis before they happened. Now he's calling this the biggest bubble in American history, and his advice for anyone holding U.S. tech stocks is blunt. If most of your retirement sits in a 401(k), his math is worth a look before you dismiss it.

FEATURE

Crossing $2 million feels like the finish line, but this is where the game quietly changes from growing your money to defending it. Taxes, lifestyle creep and one estate mistake 29% of wealthy people make can drain a fortune faster than it was built. Five traps stand between you and a smooth retirement. How many are you walking into?

MONEY IQ

About what percentage of US households have a net worth of $1 million or more?

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ALSO MAKING THE ROUNDS TODAY

MONEY IQ ANSWER: HOW DID YOU DO?

Answer: B) 18%. Roughly one in six households crosses the millionaire line according to the Federal Reserve's Survey of Consumer Finances, though much of that sits in home equity rather than spendable savings.

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See you soon with another quick roundup of the financial news that matters.

Today's newsletter was written by Shirley Sze and edited by Rudro Chakrabarti. Stories by Christy Bieber, Jing Pan, Dave Smith, Chase Kell and Mike Crisolago.

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